How did you see (or would you have seen) man landing on the moon in 1969?
one small step for man, a large leap for mankind
a celebration of best of what man and computer can do (in a extremely collaborative process and a big hairy audacious goal project of about 7 year duration)
the most famous worldwide instantaneous event
opportunity to unite human species in what can we uniquely do next
In 1969, my 18 year old mind and more valuably that of my 46 year-old father Norman Macrae The Economist's end poverty economist saw it hopefully as all of these opportunities.
The entrepreneurial revolution question to debate with everyone: what compound opportunities and risks could happen next?
The one thing we would bank our livelihoods on (and anyone who would listen) was that the doubling of spend in global communications every 7 years that had started in 1946 would continue on for many more 7 year periods quite likely through the furst quarter of the 21st century.
In other world by (say) 2030, 4000 times more would be spent on worldwide communicatiosn in treal terms than in 1946.
This would be an inter-generational revolution in the human,lot that dwarfed any other human revolution from the invention of the printing press to the steam engine that begot the industrial revolution.
We were not betting this on just the word changing event of the moon landing alone- the year before intel was founded with the Moores law goal of doubling silicon chip power to analyse every 2 years or so.
And we believed that back on earth the huge productivity story would come from satellites death of distance- ie the cost of telecommunications would within a couple of decades be no longer dependent on whether you were communicating next door or around the world. That suggested everyone should be free to maximise virtual livelihoods as well as what histiorically was known as real productivity (conventionally counted by economists in boxed silos called GDPs)
In father's view, it was essential to move on the debate of advanced economics from:
zero sum trades of making lifeless things
to service economy where peoples emotional passoin as well as grwoth of experiential learning was the primary driver both of economy and society
to knowledge economy- which we could define as taking value way above zero sum models; because actionable knowhow can multiply value in use unlike the consuming up of hings . In parallel, ending poverty in village economies would require openly collaborative innovations (and sustainability mapping) never seen during the industrial revolution -
If the world biggest future organisations (some already larger than all but 5 nations economies) continued with tangible zero sum auditing:
where success is how much you quarterly extract and externalise not how much you sustain and collaboratively win-win (NB economics of networks of systems need organisation-wide maps/charters for seeing far more than the sum of their parts) then the world of 4000 times more global communications and technology more analytically powerful than individual human minds would spin the way of Orwell's big brother scenario (in fact all Orwell's advisory had got wrong was a timeline one generation too early- if big brotherdom spins hyperconnectivity it will drown/lose much of the generation starting in 1984, and accelerate collapsing systems, failed states, ultimately catatrophes that man has scaled up to natures planet-wide scale)
EXPONENTIAL OPPORTUNITY 1984 to 1972-Norman Macrae's 4 major Futures Reports with The Economist
1972 The Next 40 Year -where communications revolution changes humanity and the planet
1976 Survey of The Coming Entrepreneurial Revolution
1982 We're all Intrapreneurial Now- service economies already produce more value than tjhing economies in world's richest nations- what does this mean for productive economics 1984's
2025 report mapping timelines of whether millennial generation will be invested in by their parents to compound sustainability exponential risings of r the opposite
UK "Khan Academy" 1972 (Details to come)
The opportunity scenario blossomned around dad and me when almost by accident we became involved with the UK national Development Porject for Computer Assisted Learning - starting in 1972 with dad as an obesrver turning CAL explorations into leadership debates of nerepreneurial revolutiion at The Economist and myself as first employer after postgraduating in statistics at Corpus Christi University of Cambriegde - a college (arguably one of Cambridge's most community caring and cross-cultural -eg after father's stint there ending in 198, manmohan singh was soon to arrive and his tesis was on ending underclasses within and across national bodrers- something of great interest to him as an Indian refugee from west pakistan - more at accidents of macrae family tree and 25 years of gandhi mediation) that generation on both my paternal and maternal family tree had experienced. What I didnt know when I first feel in love with khan academy style open elarning netwirks was that American societyhad come to fear youth so much that USA was hell bent on making university education expensive- chainging student in future debts. I had ever nbeen to USA as at 1972. I wasnt really aware that down on the ground- there were shootings iof students at Kent state not borderelss celebrations of moon landing. I wasnt aware that elders in society were so ftighterned by such belated dynmaics as end of segragation and the way mass media manipulated theur efars that they would re-elect the sort of nixon that would call jkent state students bums.
In other words, while it seemed to me obvious that if humanity was destined to spend 499=0 times more on worldwide communication, we needed to be designing the smartets open elarning m,edia not more of the mass tv comansd and control tv adevrtising industry, I wasnt aware that the USA as a whole was not the nation most liklely to celebarte open learning networking as fast and as deeply diversely as humanly possible
This is another reason why in journalising the story of te human lot's outcome from spenidng 4900 times more on communications, I would advise very millennails to celebarte waht open collaborations advancing hyukan livelihoods progressed from 1946 at www.economistasia.net www.economischina.net www.economistjapan.com www.economistbangla.com www.economistyouth.com www.econokmistyouth.com www.economistafrica.cpom not just www.economistamerica.com
|.Brian Beedham, foreign editor of The Economist for a quarter of a century, died this week, aged 87 F or nearly all the 25 years leading up to the collapse of communism in 1989, two intellects dominated the pages of The Econ- omist. They were Norman Macrae, as dep- uty editor, and Brian Beedham, as foreign editor. Their marks were influential, endur- ing-and quite different. Norman, who died in 2010, relished iconoclasm, and orig- inal ideas sprang like a fountain from his ef- fervescent mind. Brian, bearded, tweed- jacketed and pipe-smoking (or pipe-pok- ing), held ideas that were more considered. It was he who provided the paper’s atti- tude to the post-war world. In that world, nothing was as important as seeing off communism, which in turn could be achieved only by the unyielding exercise of American strength. This view was not in itself unusual. What made it re- markable, and formidable, were the clarity, elegance and intellectual power with which it was propounded. No issue demanded the exercise of these qualities more than the Vietnam war, and probably none caused Brian more an- guish. A man of great kindness, and with- out a hint of vanity or pretension, he was far from being either a heartless ideologue or a primitive anti-communist (though he never visited either Russia or Vietnam to put his opinions to the test). But his unwa- vering defence of American policy drew criticism from both colleagues and readers. Why did he persist in pounding such a lonely trail, even after it had become clear that the American venture in South-East Asia was doomed? The short answer was conviction. His anti-communism was born of a love affair with America. As a young man, at Leeds Grammar School and Oxford, his politics had been leftish. They might have stayed that way. But in 1955 ambition bore him from the Yorkshire Post to The Economist where, after a few months, he won a Commonwealth Fund fellowship and with it a year study- ing local politics in the South and the West of the United States. In America Brian dis- covered a national ideology based on indi- vidualism, bottom-up democracy and an active belief in liberty that meant pro- blems could be solved at home and na- tions could be freed abroad. This was ex- actly in tune with his own emerging ideas. The dispassionate romantic Coming from drab, class-ridden, 1950s Brit- ain, Brian might have stayed. But he felt in- dubitably British. The Suez crisis was be- ginning just as he left for America in August 1956; he so strongly backed the in- vasion of Egypt that he volunteered his ser- vice to the British military attache in Wash- ington, ready even to give up his new American adventure to fight for this hopeless cause. And though he later became enthusiastic about direct democracy (an en- thusiasm, like that for homeopathic pills, which was fostered by his links with Swit- zerland through Barbara, his wife), he was a monarchist to the end. Suspicious of intellectuals, Brian rel- ished exposing the soft, less-than-rigorous- ly-thought-out (he was fond of hyphens) orthodoxies of the liberal left. As foreign editor, he liked to draw unsparing compar- isons between the Soviet Union and the Nationalist regime in South Africa: to deny freedom on the basis of ideological convic- tions, he argued, was no less objectionable than denying it on the basis of colour. It was no doubt Brian’s command of words that helped to make him our Washington correspondent in 1958 and then, in 1963, foreign editor. In this role he wrote leaders on all manner of topics, often argu- ing a difficult case: for nuclear weapons, say; for supporting Israel (another of his unshakable causes) when sentiment was running otherwise; or indeed for the do- mino theory itself, which was never so ringingly defended. Brian was equally skilled as a sub-edi- tor. Articles that arrived on his desk with no clear beginning, end or theme were turned, apparently effortlessly, into some- thing perfectly sharp and coherent. More annoyingly for authors, articles that were perfectly coherent were sometimes turned with a few tweaks, deft as a paw-dab from one of his beloved cats, into pieces that said something quite different from what had been intended. A statement of fact might be qualified by “it is said” or the American invasion of Cambodia would become a “counter-attack”. These intrusions could be difficult to square with The Economist's tradition of open-mindedness; especially as Brian’s own mind was more contradictory than it seemed. His favourite conversation-part- ners were men like Henry “Scoop” Jackson and Richard Perle, hawkish intervention- ists; but he also had an acquaintance, al- most friendship, with at least one kgb man at the Soviet embassy in the 1980s. Away from work, the world he was analysing weekly was kept at bay. He did not own a television set, and found the best use of computers was to listen to American civil-war songs. Some of his pieces were pounded out on an ancient Ol- ivetti in a turret of Barbara’s family castle in the Alps, surrounded by peaks and clouds. Deep down he was a romantic, capable of great human feeling, whose head con- stantly seemed to remind him to keep a rein on his heart. He wrote sympathetical- ly and perceptively about Islam, and mov- ingly about refugees-especially boat peo- ple, and especially if they were Vietnam- ese. They were making his point for him....The Economist May l6th 2015||.................................................................................................................................................................america's media crisis started with its biggest brands...Help teachers and children generatethe most exciting jobs creation game? A 21st C mashup of a board game like monopoly, a quiz like trivial pursuits, and both a mass media and an app such as jobs creation sharkette tank?. more : why not blog your peoples search for world record jobs creators ..last 7 years of generation of changing education|
1 the board - maps of large continents and small islands, of super cities and rural villages, transportation routes for exchanging what people make connected to webs like Jack Ma's gateways where 3000 people co-create live for a day before linking in their networks (Notes on valuing freedom and happiness) join 25th year of debating whether we the parnets and youth can change education in tine to be sustainable
2 rules of jobs-rich trading games - lifelong grade 1 to 69, beginners to experienced connecting many previous games - eg game 1 if your region has no access to a seaport, how are trading dryports developed
3 backup every trial game ever played including successes & failures, searchable by valuable collaboration factors; geographically neighbouring, match particular skill (eg electrical engineerings) around the world
3.1 cases and the cultural lessons from future history that worldwide youth will need to translate if they are to be the sustainability generation
3.2 unexpected joys; eg often the most exciting innovations for linking the sustainability generation come from communities that had the least connections - eg some of the games best players are the women and girls who developed bangladesh as 8th most populous nation starting with next to nothing at independence in 1971; case sino-english translation of world record book of jobs creators- can you help us translate this into other mother tongues - firstname.lastname@example.org us we chat line 240 316 8157 - click to diary of good news youth journalism trips 8 to china, 1 korea, 3 arab emirates, 13 bangladesh 1 to japan